TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third tier between Mannheim and Hoffenheim II. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Mannheim wins, Hoffenheim II wins, or the game ends in a tie.
If Mannheim wins the Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II professional German 3. Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Hoffenheim II wins the Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II professional German 3. Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II professional German 3. Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may adjust lines based on public betting patterns to manage risk. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, the prediction market odds evolve dynamically as new information and opinions are incorporated, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to establish the definitive outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, might also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in market perception, potentially causing a significant shift in the odds before Oct 25, 2026. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.