TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manisa Futbol Kulubu" if Manisa Futbol Kulubu are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Muglaspor" if Muglaspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manisa Futbol Kulubu" if Manisa Futbol Kulubu are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Muglaspor" if Muglaspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of either Manisa or Muglaspor scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ form.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Manisa or Muglaspor will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is directly determined by supply and demand, meaning the market’s assessment of each team’s chances is constantly evolving based on trader activity. This dynamic pricing creates a real-time signal of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Manisa vs. Muglaspor match. If no goal is scored, the market will resolve as ‘no goal scored’ if that option is available, or according to the platform’s rules for such an event. The outcome is determined by the official match records and will be verified against reliable sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manisa or Muglaspor would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts, if it deviates from the current market expectation, could also move the odds. Finally, even late-breaking news about weather conditions or tactical changes could influence how traders assess the likelihood of either team scoring first.