TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Esenler Erokspor, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Esenler Erokspor match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Manisa Futbol Kulubu and Esenler Erokspor, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Esenler Erokspor match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each exact score. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction market odds are constantly evolving based on new information and trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the potential outcome. The market’s overall volume and trading activity influence price discovery, and larger volumes generally indicate greater confidence in the associated probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Manisa Futbol Kulubu versus Esenler Erokspor match will be used to determine the winning exact score. The resolution will be based on the scoreline reported by official sources following the completion of the game, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations and influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a tactical advantage for one team, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, or even large-volume purchases of shares representing a specific exact score, can create momentum and drive price changes in this market.