TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

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39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr: Method of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr?

Volume:
$771,336

Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:30 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$302,358
N/A
N/A
$226,261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mandel Nallo by Decision

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,196
N/A
N/A
$147,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr by KO/TKO/DQ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,138
N/A
N/A
$144,499
Settled
No
kalshi

Mandel Nallo by Submission

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,375
N/A
N/A
$71,039
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr by Submission

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,694
N/A
N/A
$25,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr by Decision

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,350
N/A
N/A
$23,952
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,225
N/A
N/A
$5,439
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market focuses on how Mandel Nallo achieves victory, whether by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision, providing insight into the fight's dynamics.

Kalshi

If Mandel Nallo wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mandel Nallo wins by Submission during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mandel Nallo wins by Decision during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Landwehr wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Landwehr wins by Submission during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Landwehr wins by Decision during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Mandel Nallo and Nate Landwehr fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nallo vs Landwehr fight tracks the current odds for each possible method of victory, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $617,421, and the total volume traded to date, which is $771,336. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to how this fight will end. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced action and build in a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Over time, these markets often converge as new information becomes available, but discrepancies can exist, especially early on. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate news or signals that impact the perceived probability of a specific result.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible method of victory in the Nallo vs Landwehr fight, and the price of each contract reflects the market's current estimate of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to acquire a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome occurs, so a price of 0.60 means a 60% implied probability.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Nallo vs Landwehr fight is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory declared by the official fight organizers will determine which outcome pays out in this market. The resolution will be based on the official ruling, including any potential decisions regarding disqualifications or no contests. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once they are available.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about weight classes or fight rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks often influence trader behavior. Significant volume spikes, particularly close to the fight date, are also a key signal to watch for as they often indicate new information or strong conviction.