TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Manchester United WFC vs. Liverpool LFC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Manchester United WFC vs. Liverpool LFC?

Volume:
$344,547

Manchester United

 - Kalshi

Manchester United - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester United

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,653
N/A
N/A
$71,343
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester United WFC

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liverpool

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,194
N/A
N/A
$72,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,616
N/A
N/A
$38,104
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Manchester United WFC vs. Liverpool LFC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liverpool LFC

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Women's Super League soccer match between Manchester United WFC and Liverpool LFC on October 3, 2026. Markets exist for Manchester United winning, Liverpool winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, favor Polymarket markets. Otherwise, be aware that Kalshi markets may remain open or resolve based on platform discretion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not mention cancellation scenarios. Relies on the result of the game as originally scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Women's Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Manchester United WFC and Liverpool LFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Manchester United vs Liverpool professional English Womens Super League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Manchester United or Liverpool wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can converge on a more efficient price as more traders participate and refine their assessments of the Manchester United vs. Liverpool match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design – how contracts are structured and what outcomes are offered – can impact trading behavior. For example, different platforms may offer slightly different variations of the outcome, leading to discrepancies. Differences in user risk appetite and information access between the two platforms also contribute to these price variations in this market.