TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Manchester United versus Tottenham English Premier League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the Manchester United vs Tottenham professional EPL soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026.
The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a different threshold of total goals scored in the Manchester United vs Tottenham EPL match scheduled for October 10, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks. For each market, if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the English Premier League or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate breaking news than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different total goal outcomes. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gain.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Manchester United vs Tottenham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics available from reputable sports news sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Tottenham would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for a high-scoring game. Team news, including starting lineups and tactical formations announced shortly before kickoff, can also shift the probabilities. Even public sentiment and media commentary could play a role in influencing traders’ decisions.