TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Manchester United and Tottenham, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specified number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different margin-of-victory scenarios in the Manchester United vs Tottenham EPL soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcome markets exist: Manchester United winning by more than 2.5 goals, Manchester United winning by more than 1.5 goals, Tottenham winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Tottenham winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact margin of victory outlined in its respective rule. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which often incorporate a house edge and may be influenced by marketing or promotional considerations. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the probabilities involved. It’s common to see this market offer potentially more favorable odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders essentially bet on their predictions, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on their collective actions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Manchester United vs Tottenham match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Tottenham would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other Premier League matches involving these teams’ rivals might also shift expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in prevailing opinion, leading to price fluctuations in this market.