TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 23h:14m:31s
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Manchester United and Roma, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regular time.
The event evaluates different margins of victory in the Manchester United vs Roma Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Manchester United winning by more than 2.5 goals, Manchester United winning by more than 1.5 goals, Roma winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Roma winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that attract balanced betting, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome. In contrast, prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of events, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into market expectations for the Manchester United vs Roma match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Roma will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Manchester United vs Roma match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal difference between Manchester United and Roma will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing football authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be paid out according to the market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Roma would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Nov 4, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift expectations for the Manchester United vs Roma match.