TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Manchester United
- Kalshi
Manchester United - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 18h:43m:14s
$
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Manchester United and Roma. The result will be determined based on the performance of both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Manchester United vs Roma professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Manchester United wins, Roma wins, or the match ends in a tie, each corresponding to their respective markets. The resolution is strictly based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Manchester United vs Roma match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Manchester United vs Roma match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts settled in their favor after the match concludes and the result is officially verified. The platform will then distribute payouts based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Manchester United or Roma could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also impact the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.