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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks corner kick performance in a professional soccer match between Manchester United and Bournemouth. It focuses on how often each team earns and takes corners during the full game duration. The outcome depends on whether specified minimum thresholds are met for either team.
If Manchester United records at least 6+ corners taken during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Manchester United vs Bournemouth professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bournemouth records at least 5+ corners taken during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Manchester United vs Bournemouth professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. This comparison can be a useful signal for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if there's strong buying pressure for a particular outcome, its price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of corners taken by Manchester United during their match against Bournemouth will be used to determine the winning contract. Official match data from a trusted sports data provider will serve as the basis for verification. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final price of their chosen contract at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches this date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for key Manchester United players, particularly those involved in set-piece delivery, could significantly shift expectations. Tactical changes announced by either manager, especially those impacting attacking strategies, would also be relevant. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day – such as strong winds – could affect the number of corners awarded. Even late-breaking news about team form or motivation could move the market as traders react to new information before Oct 25, 2026.