TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bournemouth will win its professional English Premier League soccer match against Manchester United. Currently, Kalshi gives Bournemouth a win probability of 84.0%, while a tie is priced at 11.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the EPL fixture. Keep a close watch on the starting lineups announced prior to the October 25, 2026 kickoff, as these could significantly influence market expectations.
The event resolves based on the result of the Manchester United vs Bournemouth professional EPL soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Manchester United wins, the 'Manchester United' market resolves to Yes. If Bournemouth wins, the 'Bournemouth' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically considers only regular time results, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly efficient and can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts than traditional betting markets, though both can be influenced by biases and external factors.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Manchester United vs Bournemouth match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on established sporting results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Manchester United or Bournemouth would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even news regarding weather conditions or referee assignments could play a role, though to a lesser extent. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price.