TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Spread
🌟New
kalshi

What is the result of Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Nov 1, 2026, 12:06 PM EST - Nov 8, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,592
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,592
0%

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 06d:03h:33m

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

23%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 23¢ buys you 435 shares | Odds: 23% Total Payout: $435 | Net Profit: $335 Multiplier: 4.35x | ROI: 335% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals

Trade
23%
Yes 23¢No 79¢
2¢
N/A
$2,592
N/A
N/A
$2,592
6d 3h 33m
Active
kalshi

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 3h 33m
Active
kalshi

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 3h 33m
Active
kalshi

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 3h 33m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Manchester United and Aston Villa. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance and expected performance of both clubs. Outcomes are determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Manchester United versus Aston Villa EPL match scheduled for November 8, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered based on the margin of victory for either team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. All markets exclusively reference the standard match duration, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $2,592, with $2,592 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely outcome of the match, expressed as a spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people trade, the price tends to converge towards what the collective believes is the most likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges, offering potential value for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the market collectively believes is the most likely spread for the game.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Aston Villa would likely impact the perceived probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Nov 8, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the market.