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420,368

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Manchester United vs Aston Villa
opinion
kalshi

What is the result of Manchester United vs Aston Villa?

Total volume:
$19,224
Volume 24h:
$5,236
107%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$16,019
33%

Manchester United

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:18h:12m

Manchester United wins

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester United

Trade
41%
1%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
N/A
$4,519
8%
581%
$4,065
5d 18h 12m
Active
opinion

Manchester United wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 15h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Aston Villa

Trade
33%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
1¢
N/A
$14,539
48%
464%
$11,789
5d 18h 12m
Active
opinion

Aston Villa wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 15h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
25%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
N/A
$165
0%
N/A
$165
5d 18h 12m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 15h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a single English Premier League (EPL) soccer match between Manchester United and Aston Villa scheduled for November 8, 2026. The markets ask who will win the match, or if the match will end in a draw, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a set of markets covering all outcomes (Man U wins, Aston Villa wins, Draw), while Opinion offers separate markets for each outcome.Hero tip: Consider the implications of separate markets versus a combined set when evaluating probabilities and potential payouts. Opinion requires separate positions for each outcome, while Kalshi's markets inherently cover all possibilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Kalshi's markets resolve 'Yes' if either team wins or if the match ends in a draw, using a single market per outcome. "If Manchester United wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
  • opinion: Opinion's markets are outcome-specific. The 'Manchester United wins' market resolves 'Yes' only if Manchester United wins, 'No' otherwise (including draws). "Resolves Yes if Manchester United wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Manchester United vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Manchester United wins, the 'Manchester United' market resolves to Yes. If Aston Villa wins, the 'Aston Villa' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Opinion

This market refers to the Premier League match between Manchester United (MUN) and Aston Villa (AST), scheduled for 2026-11-08 16:30 UTC. - MUN: If Manchester United wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - AST: If Aston Villa wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MUN and AST options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $19,224, with $5,027 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result. The current consensus view, based on trading activity, suggests a competitive contest, though opinions differ between the two venues. This market provides a unique way to gauge expectations and potentially profit from accurately forecasting the match’s result.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money at stake, allowing for a dynamic adjustment of probabilities as new information emerges. While both aim to predict the same event, the mechanisms and information sources differ, which can lead to discrepancies in the implied probabilities. This market can sometimes offer more favorable odds or identify mispriced opportunities.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and the resulting market settlement. The total volume traded on this market is currently $19,224.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Aston Villa would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities reflected in this market.