TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC?

Total volume:
$4,268
Volume 24h:
$1,561
21%
Liquidity:
$54,507
46%
Open interest:
$3,148N/A

MUN

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:23h:54m

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

MUN

Trade
43%
Yes 43¢No 58¢
1¢
$7,807
$73
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 54m
Active
polymarket

Manchester United FC

43%
Yes 43¢No 58¢
1¢
$13,063
$1,580
304%
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
42.5%
Yes 43¢No 58¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

33%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
1¢
$11,379
$2,516
11%
20,659%
N/A
5d 21h 54m
Active
predict

AST

32%
1%
Yes 33¢No 69¢
2¢
$6,940
$15
434%
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32.5%
Yes 33¢No 68.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC)

26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$11,017
$83
97%
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 54m
Active
predict

Draw

N/A
N/A
1¢
$4,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 54m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25.5%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers markets on the outcome of a Premier League football (soccer) match between Manchester United and Aston Villa on November 8, 2026. Markets ask whether Manchester United or Aston Villa will win, or if the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic and source hierarchy for determining the match outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official match statistics from the Premier League (https://www.premierleague.com/) or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy is used: Official sources -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official sources do not publish final statistics within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled end of the match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Manchester United FC and Aston Villa FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Manchester United FC and Aston Villa FC.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, currently Polymarket and Predict, for the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa match. It displays a consensus view of probabilities across these platforms, with a total volume of $4,268 and 24-hour volume reaching $1,430. This allows you to see where the crowd believes the outcome of the match lies, combining insights from different forecasting venues. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment, showing how traders are pricing in various possibilities for the upcoming game.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a Manchester United win than a typical sportsbook. Prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, especially when a large and diverse group participates, as they aggregate a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal modeling.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? at 42.5%, while Predict leans toward Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? at 43.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the information traders on each platform prioritize.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of the match. The volume of $4,268 suggests significant interest in this event’s outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Aston Villa would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected team news, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale, manager decisions, or even weather conditions on match day could cause the market to react. The overall performance of both teams in their preceding matches will also be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to adjustments in the perceived likelihood of various outcomes.