TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market focuses on which team, Manchester United or AFC Bournemouth, will win the second half of a Premier League match, or if the second half will end in a draw. Resolution is based on goals scored during the second half of regulation time plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC score more goals than AFC Bournemouth in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth score more goals than Manchester United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC score more goals than AFC Bournemouth in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth score more goals than Manchester United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money being wagered on the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The volume on this market is currently $41, and comparing these odds to those offered by major sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into public sentiment and potential value.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Manchester United vs. Bournemouth second half. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders set the odds by buying and selling—may differ slightly between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these variations. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Manchester United FC to win the second half at approximately 53%, while Predict leans toward AFC Bournemouth.