TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth
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What is the result of Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth?

Outcome
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24h
7d
Open Interest
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Result

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Premier League football match between Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth on October 25, 2026, specifically whether AFC Bournemouth will win. Currently, the aggregated probability of an AFC Bournemouth win is 99.0%, while Manchester United FC winning is estimated at 1.0%. This consensus view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League governing body. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 25, 2026, to see if Bournemouth can secure a victory as heavily predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match results and a defined data source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League governing body.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, win/loss markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Source Failure: If the official source doesn't publish results within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore fails, Sofascore is used. If both fail, a consensus of credible reporting is used.
  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours from the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Manchester United vs. Bournemouth match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,685,615, with $2,631,605 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from different forecasting communities. The dashboard displays how traders are pricing the likelihood of various results, offering a dynamic representation of expectations as new information becomes available. It's a central place to monitor the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding this match.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets, such as prop bets, not currently available in this market. Both offer valuable insights, but prediction markets benefit from the wisdom of the crowd and direct skin in the game.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to distinct market dynamics. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; a larger volume on one platform may result in a more efficient and potentially different price than on the other. These differences reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms at play on Polymarket and Predict.