TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Manchester City vs AEK Athens: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Volume:
$556,406

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 4:57 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$329,951
N/A
N/A
$221,209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,426
N/A
N/A
$58,131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,258
N/A
N/A
$16,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,861
N/A
N/A
$10,699
Settled
No
kalshi

AEK Athens wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,142
N/A
N/A
$12,468
Settled
No
kalshi

Manchester City wins by more than 5.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,389
N/A
N/A
$5,471
Settled
No
kalshi

AEK Athens wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,379
N/A
N/A
$2,379
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Manchester City and AEK Athens. It evaluates different margins of victory for either team based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct outcome markets resolving based on the goal differential in the Manchester City vs AEK Athens Champions League match scheduled for October 20, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty outcomes excluded. The first market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third resolves to Yes if AEK Athens wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth resolves to Yes if AEK Athens wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market has an implicit No outcome if its specific condition isn’t met. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Manchester City vs AEK Athens match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the total volume traded in the last day, which is currently $539,792. The total volume for this market is $556,406. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the spread in this soccer match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the spread in the Manchester City vs AEK Athens match.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Manchester City vs AEK Athens match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by recognized sports data providers and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any discrepancies.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Manchester City or AEK Athens could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff are other potential catalysts that could move this market. Public sentiment and large-volume trades can also contribute to price fluctuations.