TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This group forecasts the result of the second half of a UEFA Champions League match between Manchester City FC and AEK. The markets ask which team will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw, based on goals scored during regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester City FC and AEK, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than AEK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Manchester City FC and AEK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AEK" if AEK score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester City FC and AEK, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than AEK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Manchester City FC and AEK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AEK" if AEK score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Manchester City vs. AEK second half. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform can influence price formation. Different risk appetites among traders on each venue can also contribute to these discrepancies.