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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer match between two South African league teams will take place, with the winner determined solely by goals scored during the regular 90-minute period plus any added stoppage time. The result hinges on which team finishes this segment ahead on the scoreboard.
This event resolves based on the result of the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City professional South African Premiership soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market resolves to Yes for the respective team market if that team wins the match within regular time. The Tie market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration for all markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even external factors influencing the match. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities for the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final scoreline against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Mamelodi Sundowns or Durban City would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. External factors like weather conditions, which might affect playing style, and any pre-match news regarding team tactics or player morale could all contribute to movement in this market. Major announcements regarding team selection could also cause rapid price adjustments.