TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Malut United and Borneo Samarinda. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Malut United vs Borneo Samarinda professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Malut United occurs if they win the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Borneo Samarinda occurs if they secure a victory during the same period. If the match concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of each outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more quickly than sportsbooks, particularly in response to unexpected developments or breaking news surrounding the teams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malut United vs Borneo Samarinda match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Trading will cease once the outcome is known and the market will be settled accordingly, distributing payouts to contract holders based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Malut United or Borneo Samarinda could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from key players, could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing a rapid adjustment in the odds. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is evolving.