TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 6:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Malut United and Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie within this regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Malut United vs Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Malut United win, Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia win, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and those differences can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions align with the actual outcome. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions, offering a continuously updated assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Indonesian Liga 1 match between Malut United and Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that resolves the market will be the final result of the match – which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect the match's play style could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and public discussions about team form and strategies can all contribute to shifts in the market. Even late-breaking news about player motivation or internal team dynamics could cause the price to fluctuate before Oct 30, 2026.