TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perceptions. The current price represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as assessed by the market as a whole.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malta vs. Andorra match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected tactical decisions could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, and even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, can also play a role. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even broader trends in international football, might also impact how traders assess the probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market and refine your own predictions.