TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team conditions. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malta vs. Andorra match, as determined by the governing football association. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to payouts based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a fair and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other relevant matches, or even broader political events impacting team morale, could also play a role. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or large volume spikes, could also indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market before the event takes place.