TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Malta and Andorra, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Malta" if Malta are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Andorra" if Andorra are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Malta and Andorra, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Malta" if Malta are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Andorra" if Andorra are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Predict, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets dynamically adjust as more information and opinions are incorporated. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more trading activity occurs.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform, offering a unique insight into the potential for either team to score first in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Malta vs. Andorra match. If neither team scores, that outcome will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or manager decisions might also lead to shifts in the market. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as public sentiment expressed through social media and sports news outlets, can all contribute to changes in the odds as traders react to new information before Oct 4, 2026.