TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Allsvenskan soccer match between Malmo and Kalmar, focusing on determining whether Malmo wins, Kalmar wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, prices will be adjusted fairly.
The event resolves based on the result of the Malmo vs Kalmar Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, strictly after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Malmo win, Kalmar win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform’s guidelines. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading as new information becomes available. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to news and developments than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Malmo vs Kalmar match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective prediction. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the actual expected result, though unexpected events can still cause significant shifts in pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Malmo vs Kalmar match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the contract purchased – whether it’s a win for Malmo, a win for Kalmar, or a draw. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed individuals or institutions could shift the market, as could broader shifts in public opinion regarding the likely outcome of the Malmo vs Kalmar match.