TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Mallorca and Las Palmas in La Liga 2. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Mallorca wins, Las Palmas wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mallorca vs Las Palmas professional La Liga 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Mallorca wins, the 'Mallorca' market resolves to Yes. If Las Palmas wins, the 'Las Palmas' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Mallorca vs Las Palmas match, they can express that view through trading activity, potentially leading to differences in implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Mallorca vs Las Palmas match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mallorca vs Las Palmas match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Mallorca or Las Palmas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to team management or key personnel could also move the market, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes in the Mallorca vs Las Palmas match.