TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tea Kovacevic and Ariana Geerlings in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tea Kovacevic' if Tea Kovacevic advances against Ariana Geerlings. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Tea Kovacevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tea Kovacevic and Ariana Geerlings in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tea Kovacevic' if Tea Kovacevic advances against Ariana Geerlings. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Tea Kovacevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has identified a mispricing. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches, as information becomes more widely available and traders refine their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kovacevic vs Geerlings match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches leading up to the Kovacevic vs Geerlings match could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities as the event draws nearer.