TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Aran Teixido Garcia and Laura Samson in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Aran Teixido Garcia' if Maria Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Maria Aran Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Aran Teixido Garcia and Laura Samson in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Aran Teixido Garcia' if Maria Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Maria Aran Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aran vs Samson match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Aran vs Samson match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The platform will rely on official tournament results to determine the winner. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual event outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Public statements from tennis analysts or changes in betting odds at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to adjust their positions, affecting the overall pricing of the Aran vs Samson match.