TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Laura Samson in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Laura Samson in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when subjective factors or less-publicly available information are considered. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of markets. However, it's important to note that both reflect probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samson match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to the latest developments.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samson match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winner. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches or significant shifts in expert analysis could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could impact the market’s direction.