TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Eva Bennemann in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Eva Bennemann. This market will resolve to 'Eva Bennemann' if Eva Bennemann advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Eva Bennemann in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Eva Bennemann. This market will resolve to 'Eva Bennemann' if Eva Bennemann advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on expert analysis and then adjust based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to instantly express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the diverse perspectives of participants in this market. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Mallorca tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mallorca tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to react quickly to new information before the Oct 20, 2026.