TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Ekaterine Gorgodze. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterine Gorgodze' if Ekaterine Gorgodze advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ekaterine Gorgodze in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Ekaterine Gorgodze. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterine Gorgodze' if Ekaterine Gorgodze advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event as assessed by traders. This market, like others, may show discrepancies compared to sportsbook lines due to differing opinions, information access, and the incentive structure of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cortez Llorca vs Gorgodze match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a consensus view. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers pushing the price up and sellers pushing it down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cortez Llorca vs Gorgodze match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from reputable sports analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and drive price movement. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds for the Cortez Llorca vs Gorgodze match.