TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Elizara Yaneva in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Elizara Yaneva in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. As a result, you may find differences in the implied probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react rapidly to developments. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Curmi vs Yaneva match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations. This allows for a fluid assessment of the likely winner of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Curmi vs Yaneva match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of a minor injury to either Francesca Curmi or Elizara Yaneva would likely impact the odds. Additionally, analysis from tennis experts, updated rankings, or even weather forecasts for the match location could all contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the market price.