TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Elizara Yaneva in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Carole Monnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Elizara Yaneva in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Carole Monnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a large number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will shift accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison and identifying potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy shares in a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monnet vs Yaneva match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market. It’s important to monitor the official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Carole Monnet or Elizara Yaneva, or changes in playing conditions could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis, such as recent performance of players with similar styles, could also play a role. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any significant betting activity observed elsewhere could also move this market.