TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Geerlings and Francesca Curmi in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Ariana Geerlings. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Geerlings and Francesca Curmi in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Ariana Geerlings. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Geerlings vs Curmi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Geerlings vs Curmi match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Ariana Geerlings or Francesca Curmi, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or even weather forecasts impacting the game could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term price swings, reflecting their informed opinions about the match’s likely outcome.