TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 7:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Ane Mintegi Del Olmo and Rebeka Masarova will be completed in Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Mallorca: Completed Match: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova”, while “Game Spread: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo (-3.5) vs Rebeka Masarova (+3.5)” is at 0.5%. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 15, 2026, as that will indicate whether the match is proceeding as scheduled and potentially resolve this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ane Mintegi Del Olmo and Rebeka Masarova in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds, particularly when there's strong disagreement with the broader public opinion. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people analyze the match. Comparing these odds can reveal insights into where the 'wisdom of the crowd' diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as assessed by the collective intelligence of the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving expectations surrounding the Mallorca tennis match. The market is driven by supply and demand – if more people believe a player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Mallorca tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match, as officially declared by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent result. It’s important to note that the official tournament results are the sole determinant, and any disputes regarding the match itself will not impact the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all have an impact. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from tennis analysts offering strong opinions, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. A significant shift in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussion, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.