TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Nuria Brancaccio in Mallorca will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Mallorca: Completed Match: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, as that will indicate whether the match proceeds as planned and ultimately resolves this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Nuria Brancaccio in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Nuria Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Brancaccio' if Nuria Brancaccio advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into public perception and potential value for informed traders, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Lazaro Garcia vs Brancaccio match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lazaro Garcia vs Brancaccio match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.