TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out if their predicted outcome occurs. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for a contract drives up its price, indicating a greater belief in that outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price is a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mallorca tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This means the winner as declared by the official tournament organizers will determine the payout of the contracts. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Anastasiia Sobolieva or Ane Mintegi Del Olmo, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact the perceived odds, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to their encounter could also shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations.