TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mali vs. Rwanda
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mali vs. Rwanda?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$352
12%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Mali

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:18h:21m

Mali wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mali

Trade
N/A
N/A
75¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 18h
Active
polymarket

Mali

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Rwanda

Trade
N/A
N/A
76¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 18h
Active
polymarket

Rwanda

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 84.5¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
61¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 18h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Mali vs. Rwanda)

Trade
32%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$107
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 61¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the AFCON Qualifiers soccer match between Mali and Rwanda, scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Mali will win, Rwanda will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating a discrepancy in how unresolved games are handled.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's market could resolve to 'No' due to cancellation or abandonment, even if Kalshi's market would implicitly expect a result. This difference impacts the implied probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Includes detailed rules for abandoned games and data availability.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Mali or Rwanda wins, or if the game ends in a tie, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of abandonment or no-result scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Mali and Rwanda, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Mali wins the Mali vs Rwanda professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Rwanda wins the Mali vs Rwanda professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Mali vs Rwanda professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Mali vs. Rwanda match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from both venues. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities based on trading activity, offering a dynamic assessment of who is favored to win. It’s a useful tool for understanding market sentiment surrounding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to have lower margins than sportsbooks, potentially providing more favorable odds for informed bettors. However, volume on this market is currently $0, which may affect price discovery.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Mali vs. Rwanda match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settling this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mali or Rwanda would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other qualifying matches within the same tournament could affect perceptions of team strength. Finally, significant bets placed on either Polymarket or Kalshi by well-informed traders could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment.