TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Makara Michal and Rulc Lukas in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makara Michal' if Makara Michal wins against Rulc Lukas. This market will resolve to 'Rulc Lukas' if Rulc Lukas wins against Makara Michal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Makara Michal and Rulc Lukas in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 2:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makara Michal' if Makara Michal wins against Rulc Lukas. This market will resolve to 'Rulc Lukas' if Rulc Lukas wins against Makara Michal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, and the odds adjust based on the collective predictions of participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market compared to a centralized sportsbook. Examining these differences can reveal interesting insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Michal vs. Rulc match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Michal vs. Rulc match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as officially recorded by the governing sports body, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome of the match at that time.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also lead to significant price movements. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market shifts.