TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Maipu and San Juan. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Maipu vs San Juan professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Maipu, San Juan, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level under these conditions. If the game is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will be settled at a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by real money at risk, can sometimes reveal information not fully captured by conventional odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors and traders. It’s common to see shifts in prediction market probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maipu vs San Juan match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert predictions, could also drive price movements. Even seemingly minor events, like pre-match interviews or social media activity, can sometimes influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.