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Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Total Goals
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Over 0.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:19h:32m

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 108% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
limitless

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München have 3 or more total goals?

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 15h 32m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4.8¢Max: 5.5¢
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 19h 32m
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

This group forecasts the total goals scored in the Bundesliga match between Mainz and Bayern Munich on November 7, 2026. Markets are available predicting whether the total goals will exceed various thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms offer different 'SKUs' (markets) based on varying goal thresholds, leading to potential discrepancies in resolution.Hero tip: Focus on the specific threshold you believe is most likely to be breached. Be mindful that Limitless only offers a 3+ goals market, while Kalshi provides options for lower thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Kalshi offers a series of binary markets for exceeding specific goal thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). Resolution is 'Yes' if the threshold is exceeded after 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • limitless: Limitless offers a single binary market for 3 or more total goals. Resolution is 'YES' if 3+ goals are scored during regular time (90 minutes + stoppage time). Includes provisions for postponed or incomplete matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Mainz vs Bayern Munich professional Bundesliga soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the Bundesliga or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Bundesliga match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless for the Mainz vs Bayern Munich goals market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This contrasts with sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and wider accessibility. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before a significant event or breaking news impacts this market.

Differences in prices between Kalshi and Limitless for the Mainz vs Bayern Munich goals market can arise from several factors. Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume can also play a role; lower volume on one platform may result in wider bid-ask spreads and more volatile pricing. Additionally, the specific mechanics of order matching and fee structures on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage traders.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Mainz vs Bayern Munich match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from reputable sports data providers will be used to verify the final score, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mainz or Bayern Munich would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even weather conditions on match day, could also influence the expected number of goals. Late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity on either Kalshi or Limitless could create momentum and drive price changes.