TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional women's soccer match in Germany's Bundesliga, focusing specifically on the result after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether either of the two teams will secure a victory during standard playing time. If the match ends with both teams level, a separate outcome is designated.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg professional German Women's Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Mainz 05 or Wolfsburg wins during regular time. If the match concludes in a tie after the same duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Currently, prediction market odds often differ from initial analyst forecasts, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd as traders incorporate new information. While many analysts initially favored a draw, this market has shown a distinct preference for one team winning. It’s common to see discrepancies as the event approaches and more data becomes available, such as team news or changes in form. This divergence highlights how the market dynamically adjusts expectations based on collective intelligence, potentially offering a more accurate prediction than static pre-event analysis. This market will continue to adjust until the event takes place.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Mainz vs Wolfsburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This market will close once the official result is known.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mainz 05 or Wolfsburg would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even significant tactical changes announced by either manager, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any major public announcements related to the teams or the league could impact this market.