TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on traders directly assessing the probabilities of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into how the collective intelligence of the market views the event compared to traditional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Maia chess match between Max Alcala Gurri and Alejo Sanchez Quilez, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which outcome will be considered the winner of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, health, or preparation could shift expectations. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or changes in playing style could also impact the odds. Furthermore, expert analysis or commentary on the players' strengths and weaknesses could sway trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity itself can drive price movements, as traders react to each other's actions and new information becomes incorporated into the market price.