TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Zsombor Piros in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Zsombor Piros in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the players.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Giustino vs Piros match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.