TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Michael Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Michael Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, the prediction market may show a different probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes publicly available. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Giustino vs Vrbensky match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Giustino vs Vrbensky match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their share holdings in this market. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals or events could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could lead to changes in trading volume and price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market leading up to the resolution of the Giustino vs Vrbensky match.