TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kimmer Coppejans and Vilius Gaubas in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Kimmer Coppejans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kimmer Coppejans and Vilius Gaubas in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Kimmer Coppejans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls, but comparisons to sportsbook odds can reveal interesting insights into differing perceptions of the Coppejans vs Gaubas match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Coppejans vs Gaubas match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing system ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to the latest insights and expectations surrounding the match. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Coppejans vs Gaubas match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as court surface or weather), or updates on player form could all influence trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Coppejans or Gaubas might also shift perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and potentially trigger a corresponding price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move the market.