TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Zsombor Piros in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Zsombor Piros in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Zsombor Piros. This market will resolve to 'Zsombor Piros' if Zsombor Piros advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, sometimes differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the players involved in the Passaro vs Piros match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Passaro vs Piros match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing beyond the actions of traders on the platform. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Passaro vs Piros match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Resolution will reflect which player won the match, or if the match was cancelled or otherwise did not reach a definitive conclusion. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected announcements about their preparation could influence trader sentiment. Strong performances by either player in other recent matches, or analysis from tennis experts, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match location might also be a factor. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ relative chances of winning the Passaro vs Piros match has the potential to drive price movement.