TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Tiago Torres in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Tiago Torres. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Torres' if Tiago Torres advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Tiago Torres in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Tiago Torres. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Torres' if Tiago Torres advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, indicating differing perspectives on the Passaro vs Torres match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Passaro vs Torres match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective prediction. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Passaro vs Torres match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player form or potential tactical adjustments could also cause significant price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from the initial market consensus regarding the Passaro vs Torres match. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential shifts in the market.