TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Sergi Perez Contri in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Sergi Perez Contri. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Perez Contri' if Sergi Perez Contri advances against Florian Broska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Sergi Perez Contri in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Sergi Perez Contri. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Perez Contri' if Sergi Perez Contri advances against Florian Broska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' more accurately, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate in this market. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Broska vs Contri Maia match. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Broska vs Contri Maia match, as reported by the governing body of Maia. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related Maia matches or broader tournament news could also impact trader behavior. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge, as they may present opportunities to capitalize on shifts in market perception before Oct 19, 2026.