TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Adrian Oetzbach in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Adrian Oetzbach. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Oetzbach' if Adrian Oetzbach advances against Florian Broska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Adrian Oetzbach in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Adrian Oetzbach. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Oetzbach' if Adrian Oetzbach advances against Florian Broska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a broader range of opinions and information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those found here, it could indicate disagreement about underlying factors influencing the match, such as player form, recent performance, or even external factors like weather conditions. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of market efficiency and the incentives of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and responsive to new information. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maia match between Florian Broska and Adrian Oetzbach. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out, and at what value, based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to either Florian Broska or Adrian Oetzbach could cause the odds to shift. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive trading activity and alter the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.